COHEN & CO INC. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS. (form 10-Q) | MarketScreener

2022-11-07 16:49:01 By : Mr. Zeping Lin

The following discussion and analysis of the consolidated financial condition and results of operations of Cohen & Company Inc. and its majority owned subsidiaries (collectively, "we," "us," "our," or the "Company") should be read in conjunction with the unaudited consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto appearing elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto appearing in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021.

"Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" is based on our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The preparation of these financial statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities. On a regular basis, we evaluate these estimates, including fair value of financial instruments. These estimates are based on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from these estimates.

All amounts in this disclosure are in thousands (except share and unit and per share and per unit data) except where noted.

We are a financial services company specializing in fixed income markets. We were founded in 1999 as an investment firm focused on small-cap banking institutions, but have grown to provide an expanding range of capital markets and asset management services. We are organized into three business segments: Capital Markets, Asset Management, and Principal Investing.

We generate our revenue by business segment primarily through the following activities.

Our business in general and our Capital Markets business segment in particular, do not produce predictable earnings. Our results can vary dramatically from year to year and quarter to quarter. Our business is materially affected by economic conditions in the financial markets, political conditions, broad trends in business and finance, the housing and mortgage markets, changes in volume and price levels of securities transactions, and changes in interest rates, including overnight funding rates, all of which can affect our profitability and are unpredictable and beyond our control. These factors may affect the financial decisions made by investors and companies, including their level of participation in the financial markets and their willingness to participate in corporate transactions. Severe market fluctuations or weak economic conditions could reduce our trading volume and revenues, negatively affect our ability to generate new issue and advisory revenue, and adversely affect our profitability. As a general rule, our trading business benefits from increased market volatility. Increased volatility usually results in increased activity from our clients and counterparties. However, periods of extreme volatility may at times result in clients reducing their trading volumes, which would negatively impact our results. Also, periods of extreme volatility may result in large fluctuations in securities valuations and we may incur losses on our holdings. Also, our mortgage group's business benefits when mortgage volumes increase, and may suffer when mortgage volumes decrease. Among other things, mortgage volumes are significantly impacted by changes in interest rates.

In addition, as a smaller firm, we are exposed to intense competition. Although we provide financing to our customers, larger firms have a much greater capability to provide their clients with financing, giving them a competitive advantage. We are much more reliant upon our employees' relationships, networks, and abilities to identify and capitalize on market opportunities. Therefore, our business may be significantly impacted by the addition or loss of key personnel. We try to address these challenges by (i) focusing our business on clients and asset classes that are underserved by the large firms, (ii) continuing to monitor our fixed costs to enhance operating leverage and limit our losses during periods of low volumes, and (iii) attempting to hire and retain entrepreneurial and effective traders, investment bankers, and salespeople. Our business environment is rapidly changing. New risks and uncertainties emerge continuously and it is not possible for us to predict all the risks we will face. This may negatively impact our operating performance.

A portion of our revenue is generated from net trading activity. We engage in proprietary trading for our own account, provide securities financing for our customers, and execute "riskless" trades with a customer order in hand resulting in limited market risk to us. The inventory of securities held for our own account, as well as held to facilitate customer trades, and our market making activities are sensitive to market movements. A portion of our revenue is generated from new issue and advisory engagements. The fees charged and volume of these engagements are sensitive to the overall business environment. We provide investment banking and advisory services in Europe through our subsidiary CCFESA and new issue and advisory services in the U.S. through our subsidiary JVB. A division of JVB, Cohen & Company Capital Markets is our full-service boutique investment banking platform focusing on SPAC advisory, capital markets advisory, and M&A advisory, with clients primarily in the financial technology (commonly referred to as "fintech") and SPAC spaces. Currently, our primary source of new issue and advisory revenue is from originating assets for our U.S. and European insurance asset management business, and from investment banking and advisory services through our Cohen & Company Capital Markets platform.

A portion of our revenue is generated from management fees. Our ability to charge management fees and the amount of those fees is dependent upon the underlying investment performance and stability of the Investment Vehicles. If these types of investments do not provide attractive returns to investors, the demand for such instruments will likely fall, thereby reducing our opportunity to earn new management fees or maintain existing management fees. As of September 30, 2022, 53.8% of our existing AUM were in CDOs. The creation of CDOs has depended upon a vibrant securitization market. Since 2008, volumes within the securitization market have dropped significantly and have not fully recovered since that time. We have not completed a new securitization since 2008. The remaining portion of our AUM is from a diversified mix of other Investment Vehicles most of which were more recently formed.

A substantial portion of our asset management revenue is earned from the management of CDOs. As a result, our asset management revenue has declined from its historical highs as the assets of the CDOs decline due to maturities, repayments, auction call redemptions, and defaults. Our ability to complete securitizations in the future will depend upon, among other things, our asset origination capacity and success, our ability to arrange warehouse financing to originate assets, our willingness and capacity to fund required amounts to obtain warehouse financing and securitized financings, and the demand in the markets for such securitizations.

A portion of our revenues is generated from our principal investing activities. Therefore, our revenues are impacted by the overall market supply and demand of these investments as well as the individual performance of each investment. Our principal investments are included within other investments, at fair value, other investments sold, not yet purchased, and investments in equity method affiliates in our consolidated balance sheets. More recently, a significant component of our principal investment revenue has come from SPAC related equity investments, primarily in entities that have been the result of sponsored SPAC business combinations or related party sponsored SPAC business combinations. Access to these investments is reliant on a robust SPAC market. Performance of the resulting principal investments can be materially impacted by overall performance of the equity markets. See note 7 to our consolidated financial statements included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Beginning in 2018, we began sponsoring a series of SPACs. Each sponsored SPAC either completed or seeks to complete a business combination with a company involved in the insurance market. In addition, we invest in other SPACs at various stages of their business life cycle. Beginning in 2019, these SPAC activities have become a significant portion of our Principal Investing business segment. In August 2018, we invested in and became the general partner of a newly formed investment fund (the "SPAC Fund"), which was created for the purpose of investing in the equity interests of SPACs and SPAC sponsor entities including SPACs sponsored by us, our affiliates, and third parties. As a complement to the SPAC Fund, we established and became manager of two newly formed umbrella limited liability companies (the "SPAC Series Funds") that issue a separate series of interest for each investment portfolio, which typically consists of investments in the sponsor entities of individual SPACs. Generally, when a SPAC acquires or merges with a privately held target company, the target company winds up owning a majority of the resulting outstanding equity of the SPAC so the transaction is accounted for as a reverse merger. Private companies utilize reverse mergers with SPACs as a method of going public as an alternative to a traditional IPO. All of our business activity related to SPACs is highly sensitive to the volume of activity in the SPAC market. Volumes could be negatively impacted if target companies no longer see SPACs as an attractive alternative thereby reducing the number of suitable potential business combination targets. Also, investor demand for SPACs would be negatively impacted if the stock of SPACs that successfully complete a business combination underperform the market. If volumes of SPAC activity decline, our results of operations will likely be significantly negatively impacted.

Equity prices of SPACs and post business combination SPACs declined significantly during 2022. We are exposed to public equity prices of SPACs and post business combination SPACs both through our other investments, at fair value and investments in equity method affiliates. As a result, we recorded significant principal transaction losses and equity method losses during the nine months ended September 30, 2022. Continued declines in the equity prices of these companies will result in further losses for us.

Margin Pressures in Fixed Income Brokerage Business

Performance in the financial services industry in which we operate is highly correlated to the overall strength of the economy and financial market activity. Overall market conditions are a product of many factors beyond our control and can be unpredictable. These factors may affect the financial decisions made by investors, including their level of participation in the financial markets. In turn, these decisions may affect our business results. With respect to financial market activity, our profitability is sensitive to a variety of factors including the volatility of the equity and fixed income markets, the level and shape of the various yield curves, and the volume and value of trading in securities.

Margins and volumes in certain products and markets within the fixed income brokerage business continue to decrease materially as competition has increased and general market activity has declined. Further, we continue to expect that competition will increase over time, resulting in continued margin pressure.

Our response to this margin compression has included: (i) building a diversified fixed income trading platform; (ii) acquiring or building out new product lines and expanding existing product lines; (iii) building a hedging execution and funding operation to service mortgage originators; and (iv) monitoring our fixed costs. Our cost management initiatives are ongoing. However, there can be no certainty that these efforts will be sufficient. If insufficient, we will likely see a decline in profitability.

Our mortgage group is significant to our Capital Markets segment and our company overall. The mortgage group primarily earns revenue by providing hedging execution, securities financing, and trade execution services to mortgage originators and other investors in mortgage-backed securities. Therefore, this group's revenue is highly dependent on the volume of mortgage originations in the U.S. Origination activity is highly sensitive to interest rates, the U.S. job market, housing starts, sale activity of existing housing stock, as well as the general health of the U.S. economy. In addition, any new regulation that impacts U.S. government agency mortgage-backed security issuance activity, residential mortgage underwriting standards, or otherwise impacts mortgage originators will impact our business. We have no control over these external factors and there is no effective way for us to hedge against these risks. Our mortgage group's volumes and profitability will be highly impacted by these external factors.

Rising Interest Rates and Inflation

During 2022, the U.S. Federal Reserve began a process of raising the fed funds rate and quantitative tightening to address rising inflation. These actions have the effect of increasing interest rates which negatively impacts our business in several ways:

In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak of a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) as a pandemic, which continues to spread throughout the United States. The spread of COVID-19 has caused significant volatility in domestic and international markets. There is on-going uncertainty around the breadth and duration of business disruptions related to COVID-19, as well as its impact on the U.S. and international economies.

In 2021, medical professionals developed COVID-19 vaccines and governments began to distribute them globally, which is expected to reduce virus spread and further aid economic recovery. Despite broad improvements in the global fight against the COVID-19 virus, we will likely be impacted by the pandemic in other ways which we cannot reliably determine. We will continue to monitor market conditions and respond accordingly. In April 2020, we applied for and received a $2,166 loan under the Paycheck Protection Program ("PPP") of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security ("CARES") Act. On June 21, 2021, we received notification that the U.S. Small Business Administration, as administrator of the PPP, had approved our PPP Loan forgiveness application for $2,127 and all accrued interest on the PPP Loan, leaving us with a remaining PPP Loan balance of $39. The PPP Loan forgiveness was recorded to other non-operating income on the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. We repaid the remaining balance plus accrued interest on June 25, 2021, at which point the PPP Loan balance was reduced to zero.

On March 10, 2017, the Operating LLC issued to DGC Family Fintech Trust (the "DGC Trust"), a trust established by Daniel G. Cohen, a convertible senior secured promissory note in the aggregate principal amount of $15,000 (the "2017 Convertible Note").

The 2017 Convertible Note was originally scheduled to mature on March 10, 2022; however in accordance with the terms and conditions of the 2107 Convertible Note agreement, effective on March 10, 2022, the Operating LLC exercised its right to extend the maturity date from March 10, 2022 to March 10, 2023. On March 20, 2022, the DGC Trust elected to convert the 2017 Convertible Note into an aggregate of 10,344,827 units of membership interests in the Operating LLC at the conversion rate specified in the 2017 Convertible Note agreement of $1.45 per unit. As a result of such conversion, the 2017 Convertible Note was cancelled in its entirety. These units of membership interests have same conversion and redemption rights as the existing convertible non-controlling interest units. See note 21 to the Company's December 31, 2021 Annual Report filed on Form 10-K.

Pursuant to the DGC Trust's governing documents, Daniel G. Cohen has the ability to acquire at any time any of the DGC Trust's assets, including the units of membership interest, by substituting other property of an equivalent value without the approval or consent of any person, including any trustee or beneficiary of the DGC Trust. See Notes 16 and 24 to our consolidated financial statements included Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

On January 31, 2022, the Operating LLC and JKD Investor entered into a Note Purchase Agreement pursuant to which, among other things, on such date, (i) JKD Investor paid to the Operating LLC an additional $2,250 and (ii) in consideration for such funds, the Operating LLC issued to JKD Investor an Amended and Restated Senior Promissory Note in the aggregate principal amount of $4,500 (the "Amended and Restated Note"), which Amended and Restated Note amended and restated the JKD Note in its entirety. The 2022 Purchase Agreement contains customary representations and warranties on the part of each of JKD Investor and the Operating LLC. We used these proceeds to retire $2,250 of existing 2020 Senior Notes held by RNCS. See notes 16 and 24 to our consolidated financial statements included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

New Commercial Real Estate Opportunities ("CREO") JV

On September 3, 2021, we committed to invest up to $15,000 of equity in a newly formed joint venture (the "CREO JV") with an outside investor who committed to invest approximately $435,000 of equity in the CREO JV. We are required to invest 7.5% of the total equity of the CREO JV with an absolute limit of $15,000. The CREO JV is managed by us.

The CREO JV was formed for the purposes of investing in primarily multi-family commercial real estate mortgage-backed loans and below-investment-grade rated tranches in CRE CLOs collateralized by mostly transitional commercial real estate mortgage-backed loans. "CRE CLO" means any pooling of commercial real estate mortgage-backed loans into a collateralized loan obligation.

The commercial real estate loans that will be funded by the CREO JV may be originated by us and we may earn origination fees earned in connection with such transactions. In addition, the Company may earn structuring fees in connection with structuring and consummating a CRE CLO consisting of a pooling of commercial real estate loans. We also may earn management fees as manager of any CRE CLOs based on the value of the assets consolidated into a CRE CLO (calculated in accordance with the terms of such CRE CLO), payable from the proceeds generated by and in accordance with the distribution waterfall of such CRE CLO.

We have elected the fair value option in accordance with the provisions of FASB ASC 820, Fair Value Measurements ("FASB ASC 820") to account for our investment in the CREO JV. The investment is included in other investments at fair value, on the consolidated balance sheet and gains and losses (both realized and unrealized) are recognized in the consolidated statement of operations as a component of principal transactions and other income. Because the CREO JV has the attributes of investment companies as described in FASB ASC 946-15-2, we estimate the fair value of our investment using the net asset value ("NAV") per share (or its equivalent) as of the reporting date in accordance with the "practical expedient" provisions related to investments in certain entities that calculate net asset value per share (or its equivalent) included in FASB ASC 820 for all entities. As of September 30, 2022, our investment balance in the CREO was $6,818.

Wind Down of the Company's GCF Repo Business

The Company has carried out a matched book GCF repo business as a full netting member of the FICC Government Services Division since 2017. In October 2021, primarily due to reduced spreads in the repo market for GCF collateral, the Company decided to wind down this business. As of December 31, 2021, the wind down was completed and the GCF reverse repurchase agreements and repurchase agreements balances were reduced to zero. See note 10 to our consolidated financial statements included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

INSU Acquisition Corp III ("Insurance SPAC III")

The Operating LLC is the manager of Insurance Acquisition Sponsor III, LLC ("IAS III") and Dioptra Advisors III, LLC (together with IAS III, the "Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities"). The Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities are sponsors of INSU Acquisition Corp. III ("Insurance SPAC III"). On December 22, 2020, Insurance SPAC III completed the sale of 25,000,000 units (the "Insurance SPAC III Units") in its initial public offering which included 3,200,000 units issued pursuant to the underwriters' over-allotment option.

Each Insurance SPAC III Unit consists of one share of Insurance SPAC III's Class A common stock, par value $0.0001 per share ("Insurance SPAC III Common Stock"), and one-third of one Insurance SPAC III warrant (each, an "Insurance SPAC III Warrant"), where each whole Insurance SPAC III Warrant entitles the holder to purchase one share of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock for $11.50 per share. The Insurance SPAC III Units were sold in the IPO at an offering price of $10.00 per Unit, for gross proceeds of $250,000 (before underwriting discounts and commissions and offering expenses). Pursuant to the underwriting agreement in the IPO, Insurance SPAC III granted the underwriters in the IPO (the "Insurance SPAC III Underwriters") a 45-day option to purchase up to 3,270,000 additional Insurance SPAC III Units solely to cover over-allotments, if any; and on December 21, 2020, the Insurance SPAC III Underwriters notified the Company that they were partially exercising the over-allotment option for 3,200,000 Insurance SPAC III units and waiving the remainder of the over-allotment option. Immediately following the completion of the IPO, there were an aggregate of 34,100,000 shares of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock issued and outstanding. If the Insurance SPAC III fails to consummate a business combination within the first 24 months following the IPO, its corporate existence will cease except for the purposes of winding up its affairs and liquidating its assets.

The Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities purchased an aggregate of 575,000 of placement units in Insurance SPAC III in a private placement that occurred simultaneously with the IPO for an aggregate of $5,750, or $10.00 per placement unit. Each placement unit consists of one share of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock and one-third of one warrant (the "Insurance SPAC III Placement Warrant"). The Insurance SPAC III placement units are identical to the Insurance SPAC III Units sold in the IPO except (i) the shares of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock issued as part of the placement units and the Insurance SPAC III Warrants will not be redeemable by Insurance SPAC III, (ii) the Insurance SPAC III Warrants may be exercised by the holders on a cashless basis, and (iii) the shares of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock issued as part of the placement units, together with the Insurance SPAC III Warrants, are entitled to certain registration rights. Subject to certain limited exceptions, the placement units (including the underlying Insurance SPAC III Warrants and Insurance SPAC III Common Stock and the shares of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock issuable upon exercise of the Insurance SPAC III Warrants) will not be transferable, assignable or salable until 30 days after the completion of the Insurance SPAC III's initial business combination.

A total of $250,000 of the net proceeds from the private placement and the IPO (including approximately $10,600 of the deferred underwriting commission from the IPO) were placed in a trust account. Except for the withdrawal of interest to pay taxes (or dissolution expenses if a business combination is not consummated), none of the funds held in the trust account will be released until the earlier of (i) the completion of Insurance SPAC III's initial business combination, (ii) in connection with a stockholder vote to amend Insurance SPAC III's amended and restated certificate of incorporation (A) to modify the substance or timing of Insurance SPAC III's obligation to redeem 100% of its public shares if it does not complete an initial business combination within 24 months from the completion of the IPO or (B) with respect to any other provision relating to stockholders' rights or pre-initial business combination activity, or (iii) the redemption of all of Insurance SPAC III's public shares issued in the IPO if the Insurance SPAC III is unable to consummate an initial business combination within 24 months from the completion of the IPO. If Insurance SPAC III does not complete a business combination within the first 24 months following the IPO, the placement units will expire worthless.

The Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities collectively hold 8,525,000 founder shares in Insurance SPAC III. Subject to certain limited exceptions, the founder shares will not be transferable or salable except (a) with respect to 25% of such shares, until consummation of a business combination, and (b) with respect to additional 25% tranches of such shares, when the closing price of Insurance SPAC III Common Stock exceeds $12.00, $13.50, and $17.00, respectively, for 20 out of any 30 consecutive trading days following the consummation of a business combination. Certain non-controlling interests in the Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities, including executive and key employees of the Operating LLC, purchased membership interests in the Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities and, in addition to having an interest in Insurance SPAC III's placement units discussed above, have an interest in Insurance SPAC III's founder shares through such membership interests in the Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities. The number of the Insurance SPAC III's founder shares in which such non-controlling interests in the Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities, including such executives and key employees of the Operating LLC, have an interest in through the Insurance SPAC III Sponsor Entities will not be finally and definitively determined until consummation of a business combination. The number of Insurance SPAC III's founder shares currently allocated to the Operating LLC is 4,267,500, but such number of founder shares will also not be finally and definitively determined until the consummation of a business combination.

The Operating LLC loaned to Insurance SPAC III approximately $71 to cover IPO expenses, which was repaid in full at the closing of the IPO. Insurance Acquisition Sponsor III and its affiliates, including the Operating LLC, have also committed to loan Insurance SPAC III up to an additional $1,500 to cover operating and acquisition related expenses following the IPO, of which $960 was borrowed by Insurance SPAC III as of September 30, 2022. If Insurance SPAC III does not consummate a business combination in the required timeframe, no funds from Insurance SPAC III's trust account can be used to repay the loans.

As of September 30, 2022, we had a total equity method investment in Insurance SPAC III of $3,401, which was included as a component of investment in equity method affiliates in our consolidated balance sheet. Offsetting this amount was non-controlling interest of $4,210, which was included as a component of non-controlling interest in our consolidated balance sheet. Therefore, the net carrying value of our investment in Insurance SPAC III (excluding its advances under our loan agreement) was $(809) as of September 30, 2022.

This section provides a comparative discussion of our consolidated results of operations for the specified periods. The period-to-period comparisons of financial results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021

The following table sets forth information regarding our consolidated results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021.

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